How to estimate Airbnb income
Short-term rental income is booked nights times the average nightly rate, plus cleaning fees, less the platform's fee.
Occupancy, average daily rate (ADR) and revenue per available night are the standard lodging measures; revenue per available night is simply revenue divided by all nights in the year, booked or not.[1] In the example, revenue per available night is $156.60.
| Occupancy | Nights | Gross revenue | NOI | Monthly cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40% | 146 | $35,724 | $12,440 | ($959) |
| 50% | 183 | $44,655 | $18,640 | ($443) |
| 60% | 219 | $53,587 | $24,839 | $74 |
| 70% | 256 | $62,518 | $31,039 | $591 |
| 80% | 292 | $71,449 | $37,239 | $1,107 |
Because most costs are fixed, profit rises much faster than occupancy. The flip side is that a slow season can turn a profitable listing into a loss.
Platform fees
Airbnb is moving most hosts to a single, host-only service fee: most hosts pay 15.5%, and the rest typically pay 14% to 16%. The older split fee, in which most hosts pay 3% and guests pay a separate 14.1% to 16.5% service fee, is being phased out.[2][3] Enter the percentage shown on your own payouts; under a split fee, enter only the host's share, because the guest's fee does not reduce your payout. Fees change, so check before relying on the default.
Lenders discount short-term rental income heavily: when qualifying a one-unit investment property, Fannie Mae counts 50% of short-term rental income and says the other half accounts for vacancy losses and maintenance.[4]
Break-even occupancy and nightly rate
Break-even occupancy is the share of nights you must book for cash flow to reach zero; in the example it is 58.6%. The break-even nightly rate answers "how much should I charge": at 64% occupancy, any rate below $197 loses money after the mortgage. Both are worked out from the same costs and fees you entered.
Short-term vs long-term rental
A short-term rental usually grosses more than a lease, but it carries cleaning, furnishing, supplies, utilities and much more of the owner's time. To compare both on the same property, use the rent vs Airbnb calculator. For a conventional lease, the rental property calculator is the better model.
Taxes and rules to check
- Personal use. If you use the home yourself for more than the greater of 14 days or 10% of the days it is rented, the IRS treats it as a home you live in; expenses are then split between rental and personal use by days. If it is rented fewer than 15 days in the year, the rent is not included in income.[5]
- Local rules. Many cities require short-term rental permits, cap the nights a home can be rented, or collect occupancy taxes. Check before buying.
- Insurance. A standard landlord or homeowner policy may not cover paying guests.
Estimates onlyOccupancy and nightly rates are your assumptions. Results can differ widely from what a listing actually earns, and property values and rental income can both fall.[6]
See also the cash-on-cash return calculator for the return on your cash with any rental.
Frequently asked questions
How much can I make on Airbnb?
Multiply the nights you expect to book by your average nightly rate, add cleaning fees, then subtract platform fees, cleaning, utilities, supplies, taxes, insurance, maintenance and the mortgage. The worksheet does each step and shows the result per month.
How much should I charge per night on Airbnb?
At least the break-even nightly rate shown in the results, which covers every cost at your expected occupancy. What guests will pay depends on comparable listings nearby.
What occupancy rate should I assume?
Use the booking history of similar listings in the same area and season if you can. Running the table above at several occupancy levels shows how sensitive the result is.
Is Airbnb income taxable?
Yes, rental income is generally taxable. U.S. rules for homes you also use personally are in IRS Publication 527; other countries have their own rules.
Sources
- Tran, X. Revenue Management Illustrated, ch. 2: Revenue Management Measurement
- Airbnb service fees (Help Center article 1857)
- Simplifying Airbnb service fees
- B3-3.8-03, Rental Income from the Subject Property: Short-Term Rental (Selling Guide)
- Publication 527 (2025), Residential Rental Property
- Buying an investment property